Time is short

After some rumination on the state of the markets, my prognosis on the terminal condition of the stocks markets has not changed since the start of the year. In this Sunday update, a memo to self to try and catch a move in the equity markets to the downside and [...]

Read Full Post »

Sunday review

Hello there, as no trades on I thought I would say that I’m waiting for Gold to sell off some more and the softs to base pattern before trading again…
Some people reach this site from funny searches, the best yesterday was, “as of April where is the great bull” ! Indeed… the bull is having [...]

Read Full Post »

Sunday review

Only 2 positions open Newmont (buy £1pp) and sell Dax30 (£1pp) these appear to set off each other – but I think relatively they will protect me from a rally in the markets say following a 1% point rate cut – ie Newmont will rally higher and have limited downside if the markets fall.
Waiting for [...]

Read Full Post »

Sunday review

Here is my cotton trade reviewed, with contract note, being the largest gain so far this year. Commodity sell off in progress, so will wait and see / wait for base or support to come in before buying in again, in cotton, coffee and sugar.
Newmont – is it close to a pivot point at [...]

Read Full Post »

Sunday roundup…

Interesting times, see the chart below for the entire commodity run up since the end of the 20 year bear market in 2001.

January saw the largest monthly gain in 6 years and made a high of around 570 this week.
What does this mean? Probably that there is a reversal brewing, but certainly that fiat [...]

Read Full Post »

Sunday trading review

Closed Robusta positions early in week, only to reopen 4/5 on Thursday – Friday looked like a reversal day and so will stop out on Monday.
Arabica trade done very well and reached a high of 15600 on Friday but reversed lower same day showing weakness.  My average price on the £7/point is about 13800, so [...]

Read Full Post »

Sunday Big Picture Review…

Today I would like you to consider whether there is such a think as the low hanging fruit in the financial markets?  With massive liquidity drive underway worldwide by central banks, Gold rising against, I think most currencies worldwide, are there any easy opportunities?
A good place to look is the long term, 20-30 year chart [...]

Read Full Post »