Opportunities shaping up

It is a good time to get in on the commodities at bargain prices, in real terms, not seen since the start of the decade. With governments flooding the financial system with liquidity globally, it is just a matter of time before this flows through into higher raw materials prices – more paper chasing [...]

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“Make me a trader”

There is a new TV, “Make me a trader” which is loosely based on the Turtle traders who were tutored by a successful trend following trader.  It looks entertaining, as the candidates are seen day trading without much of a game plan.  The pressure is piled on, as they are made aware anything they lose [...]

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T Bond bubble

Current thoughts;
T Bonds are overbought, there is a Proshares ultrashort fund ETF.  They may stay overbought for sometime but have only been so overbought to same degree as they are now, 5 times in last 30 years.  Mean reversion trade.
There is a leveraged oil ETF, SOIL which has lost 95% of its value this year [...]

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Friday massive, back up the truck

Interesting day and week really in the markets, bear rally continues in main indices. I am reviewing short opps in internet stock Amazon and long commodities – the softs.
On the commodities first – set the background – oil chart since 2000.

Well, to me, it looks like a spike which could retrace to $80 – [...]

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Commodity bubble…

Article on the bigger picture here.

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Sunday Big Picture review Jan 2008

This is my first Sunday Big Picture review and I want to focus on the general state of the markets as we come to the end of a traumatic (for some) first month of 2008.
One of my favourite sites for stock market commentary is Zealllc.com as the chap who writes there (Adam Hamilton) lives what [...]

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